Methodology note
Scrap mandatory ESG reporting: calculation note
Scenario assumptions behind the Scrap mandatory ESG reporting estimate. The figures are illustrative and exclude unrelated Conservative pledges.
Central fiscal result
GBP 0.0bn - Net fiscal impact in 2028-29
Low case: -GBP 0.1bn. High case: +GBP 0.5bn. Positive numbers are fiscal costs or borrowing pressure. Negative numbers are Exchequer savings or receipts.
Scenario and baseline
- Model repeal of selected mandatory ESG and diversity reporting by 2028-29.
- Central fiscal effect is zero.
- Baseline includes climate-related disclosures and FCA SDR rules.
- Private compliance savings are not Exchequer savings.
Affected population
- Affected population is in-scope companies and financial firms.
- Direct gains are lower reporting and assurance costs.
- Indirect exposure includes investors, lenders and consumers.
- International reporting obligations may remain.
Gross impact
- Central public fiscal effect: GBP 0.0bn.
- Regulator savings and transition costs broadly offset.
- Private compliance savings are not included in fiscal estimate.
- High case assumes lost information raises public-risk costs.
Fiscal build-up, central case
- Regulator administration savings: -GBP 0.1bn
- Transition and guidance costs: +GBP 0.1bn
- Tax receipt effects: GBP 0.0bn
- Public-risk information costs: GBP 0.0bn
Central net impact: GBP 0.0bn in 2028-29.
Behaviour and pass-through
- Low case assumes duplication is removed efficiently.
- Central case assumes small public savings and small costs.
- High case assumes information loss raises later regulatory and risk costs.
- Many firms still report to investors or overseas regulators.
- Consumer price effects are likely minimal.
Phasing
- 2026-27: GBP 0.0bn. Preparation or partial implementation.
- 2027-28: GBP 0.0bn. Main ramp-up year.
- 2028-29: GBP 0.0bn. Target-year central estimate.
- 2029-30: GBP 0.0bn. Continuation at steady-state assumptions.
Main source groups
- con-plan-2026: Conservative live policy page; used to identify current pledge wording.
- climate-disclosure-2022: Climate disclosure guidance; large-company reporting baseline.
- fca-sdr-2026: FCA SDR regime; financial-services disclosure baseline.
- obr-efo-mar-2026: OBR March 2026 forecast; fiscal and macro baseline.
- dechezlepretre-sato-2017: Regulation and competitiveness; informs behavioural and incidence assumptions.
- goulder-parry-2008: Environmental policy design; informs behavioural and incidence assumptions.