Green - Housing
Introduce rent controls
Restrict private-rent increases and strengthen tenant protections.
Last updated: May 2026.
Policy baseline
The Green manifesto supports rent controls. Direct fiscal cost is low, but economic risk is mostly private rental supply and maintenance.
- Targets private renters in covered tenancies.
- Landlords and future renters bear risk.
- Design determines supply effects.
Core trade-offs
The direct beneficiaries are incumbent renters facing high rents. The costs fall mainly on landlords and potentially future renters. The main economic question is rental supply and maintenance may fall.
- Incumbent renters facing high rents gain most directly.
- Costs fall mainly on landlords and potentially future renters.
- Key risk: rental supply and maintenance may fall.
Fiscal impact by 2028-29
+GBP 0.0bn to +GBP 2.0bn. Central estimate: +GBP 0.2bn.
- Positive numbers mean net fiscal cost; negative numbers mean Exchequer savings.
- Main channel is the scored tax, spending or delivery change.
- Offsets depend on tax receipts, behaviour and pass-through.
- Range reflects uncertain implementation and economic response.
- This is not an official costing.
Economic impact by 2028-29
- Jobs: Little direct employment effect; construction and letting activity may fall.
- Wages: Incumbent tenants gain disposable income; landlords lose rental income.
- Prices: Controlled rents fall for covered homes; uncontrolled rents may rise.
- GDP / productivity: Likely negative for rental supply and maintenance unless narrowly targeted.
Assessment
This is a real trade-off, not a free gain. Incumbent renters facing high rents benefit, while landlords and potentially future renters bear most costs. Overall output depends on behaviour, capacity and pass-through.
Confidence: Medium-low. Higher on the policy target and fiscal channel; lower on behaviour, pass-through and economy-wide effects.
Main risks
- Supply contraction: Landlords may sell or underinvest if expected returns fall.
- Targeting risk: Incumbent tenants gain more than households trying to enter the market.
- Maintenance risk: Lower returns can reduce repairs and quality.
Safeguards
- Limit coverage and review supply effects.
- Protect new construction incentives.
- Track evictions, listings and repairs.
Academic evidence
Diamond, McQuade and Qian, American Economic Review, 2019
Rent control effects
Expanded rent control protected incumbent tenants but reduced rental supply and raised prices elsewhere.
Directly relevant to rent-control risk.
Glaeser and Gyourko, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2018
Housing supply economics
Constrained housing supply raises prices and can damage mobility and productivity.
Explains why supply reform can raise GDP.
UK government evidence
Green Party of England and Wales, 2024
Green manifesto
The manifesto defines the tax, spending, climate, housing and public-service proposals modelled here.
Used to define the scenario, not as an official costing.
Office for National Statistics, 2025
Housing supply indicators
ONS housing indicators show supply constraints and affordability pressures across UK housing markets.
Anchors the affected-market scale and supply-side caveat.
Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2024
IFS Green reaction
IFS warned Green spending plans involve very large additional public investment.
Supports wide fiscal bounds for housing capital policy.
Sources
- PolicyLens illustrative scenario methodology for introduce rent controls Internal - PolicyLens, 2026
- The Effects of Rent Control Expansion Academic article - Diamond, McQuade and Qian, American Economic Review, 2019
- The Economic Implications of Housing Supply Academic article - Glaeser and Gyourko, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2018
- Green Party manifesto: a reaction Think tank analysis - Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2024
- Green Party manifesto summary Manifesto summary - Local Government Association, 2024
- Housing supply indicators, UK Official statistics - Office for National Statistics, 2025
- Manifesto for a Fairer, Greener Country Party policy source - Green Party of England and Wales, 2024
Other Green policies
PolicyLens estimates are illustrative and should not be treated as official costings.